I completed the updates for June and found these results:

  • Estimate: 1779.60 kWh
  • Actual: 1807.7500

That’s really close, especially as the weather wasn’t what we were expecting. It was very different than our recollection of the past. This production resulted in just a 28kW surplus (we like surpluses), or just about a 1/2 day extra.

Amazing. I got this estimate for the year last fall.

Here are the stats of where we stand currently (skipping Feb):

Month Estimate Production Surplus/Deficit Running Total
March 1362.76kW 1331.8490kW (30.91)kW  
April 1268.10kW 1943.85800kW 675.76kW 644.85kW
May 1556.82kW 1830.28kW 273.46kW 918.31kW
June 1779.60kW 1807.75kW 28.15kW 946.46kW

Three months in, we’re almost a MW up on power. If this continues, I think this will be a net zero for the year, or even a surplus. Even with the Tesla.

The one thing I don’t like is that we haven’t enough moisture, so

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